I. Question of possible foreign involvement
- Absolutely critical—could have changed the course of the war
- Confederates could not manufacture the war materiel they needed (weapons, ships, etc.)
- South optimistic about getting British/French support
- Napoleon III inclined to recognize the Confederacy but will only do so if Britain takes the lead
- Britain takes a “wait and see” attitude—wants to see what happens on the battlefiel
- But the general feeling in Europe in 1861-62 is that Union is dead
II. Union blockade
- One of Lincoln’s first major strategic decisions
- Understands the South’s dependence on manufactured goods from Britain & their need to export cotton
- But the coast line 3,550 miles long
- And the US Navy had only around 40 usable ships
- Immediately launched shipbuilding efforts; ended up with close to 700 by war’s end
- At first, blockade very ineffective
- Even in 1864, US Navy capture only 1 of every 3 Confederate vessels
- Still, blockade prevents critical materials and equipment from getting through
III. Implications of the blockade
- Effect on European economy/textile mills?
- Question of international law
- Imposing a blockade was an act of war between two belligerent nations
- This means that, in effect, Lincoln is recognizing the Confederacy as a hostile nation
- European nations must decide how to view the conflict
- Is it a proper war b/n nations, or an uprising? Stakes are huge.
- Lincoln and North call it the “War of the Rebellion”
- Is it a proper war b/n nations, or an uprising? Stakes are huge.
- Moreover, international law says that for a blockade to be valid, it must be effective
- North under great pressure to show that the blockade is effective
- Imposing a blockade was an act of war between two belligerent nations
IV. King Cotton
- Scholars like Sven Beckert and David Surdam have mapped the importance of cotton to the British empire.
- By 1860, Britain was importing over a billion bales of cotton, 88% of which was coming from the American South. The French, likewise, imported 93% of their cotton from the U.S.
- Cotton formed the basis of Britain’s textile industry, which directly and indirectly sustained 1/5 of the British population.
- Give the South what turns out to be misplaced confidence
V. British “neutrality”
- May 1861, Britain declares its neutrality
- Implication: treating the war as one between two belligerent nations
- Recognizes the Confederate as a nation with certain rights (such as the right to contract loans and purchases weapons)
- Other European nations follow suit
- North is furious
- Sees a first step toward recognition
- Anti-British sentiment surges
- Implication: treating the war as one between two belligerent nations
- To most Europeans, Union cause looks doomed
VI. Trent Affair
- Two Confederate envoys, James Mason and John Slidell, taken from a British ship, which is stopped and boarded Capt. Charles Wilkes
- Wilkes claims the envoys as contraband of war
- He’s hailed as a hero in US
- Brits are aghast
- Demand immediate release of prisoners and apology
- Begin gearing up for war
- 3,000 troops sent to Canada
- Suspend trade relations
- Lincoln overrules popular sentiment; backs down
- Releases men; no apology, though
- Closest the South gets to winning recognition/support
VII. Diplomats
- Union has the upper hand
- Confederates initially send William Yancy
- Fire-eater with no experience
- Confederates initially send William Yancy
- Union has Charles Francis Adams
- Son and grandson of two presidents, both of whom served as ministers to Britain
VIII. Southerners embargo cotton
- Not a government policy; people do it on their own, following hotheaded newspaper writers
- Doesn’t play out as they expected
- Britain actually has significant amounts stored up
- Cotton shortage doesn’t immediately materialize
- By the time it does, other nations have moved to fill vacuum
- Cotton production in India, Brazil, etc.
- Textiles had already begun to lose their dominant role in the British economy
- North begins relying more and more on British trade; relationship strengthens (ships, woolen goods, etc)
- North begins relying more and more on British trade; relationship strengthens (ships, woolen goods, etc)
IX. South’s failure to win recognition
- Crop failures in Europe
- 1862: Britain importing 40% of its wheat from US (North)
- British Economist declares: “without these importations, our people could not exist at all.”
- Britain resents Confederates highhanded policy; see as blackmail
- Realpolitick
- Concerned about balance of power in Western hemisphere
- In the end, Britain doesn’t want to weaken the blockade as an instrument of war
- Doesn’t really want to go to war again after Crimean War
- Overstretched militarily
X. Popular sentiment in Europe
- Though not democracies, Britain and France still had to consider popular opinion
- Concerned about popular rebellion
- In general, European aristocrats tended to sympathize with Confederacy; British labor leaders and the working class with the North
- However, many British observers were actually very skeptical about the Emancipation Proclamation
- Thought it was a cynical move; feared it would lead to violence uprisings by blacks in the South
- However, many British observers were actually very skeptical about the Emancipation Proclamation